This is the stock that rose the most among the S&P 500 stocks this year at around 650%, right? Someone ran a backtest, and apparently there's a strategy where you put $10,000 into the top-performing stock of each year on the first trading day of January the following year and hold it for just one year. They said if you keep switching to the previous year's top-performing stock and repeat this for 10 years, it turns into $1.3M, so I'm thinking of giving it a try early next year. Since the XLV I currently hold has gone up a lot, I plan to sell it off at the end of this year. There's also another backtest showing that healthcare has a 100% win rate in an election year.
153.**.198.75
So you're saying to buy $10,000 worth of Moderna on the first trading day of 2027 and just leave it? What stock was it in 2026?
16.**.189.23
2025 Winner SNDK: If you invested $10,000 in that stock on January 1, 2026 (when you already know last year's winner), it would be $11,250 as of today.
2024 Winner VST: If you invested $10,000 on January 1, 2025, it would be $19,670 on December 31 of that year.
2023 Winner NVDA: If you invested $10,000 on January 1, 2024, it would be $27,280 on December 31 of that year.
In other words, looking at these backtesting results alone, the conclusion is that rather than struggling to predict future winners in advance, a momentum strategy of investing in the already proven #1 stock from the previous year is enough to significantly outperform the market index (S&P 500).
So if Moderna ends up as the winner this year, I'm thinking of buying $10,000 worth as soon as the market opens in 2027 (don't copy me, this is similar to the SPMO strategy, except without diversification).
32.**.190.196
That's an interesting topic. How about buying now? Is it because there's a chance it will go down until next year?
Someone ran a backtest, and apparently there's a strategy where you put $10,000 into the top-performing stock of each year on the first trading day of January the following year and hold it for just one year. They said if you keep switching to the previous year's top-performing stock and repeat this for 10 years, it turns into $1.3M, so I'm thinking of giving it a try early next year. Since the XLV I currently hold has gone up a lot, I plan to sell it off at the end of this year. There's also another backtest showing that healthcare has a 100% win rate in an election year.